mercredi 1 avril 2015

Internal Colombian conflict: apparent success of military solution and failure of successive negotiations on an ongoing violence. Challenge for a new mechanism of negotiation

Abstract

After more than 50 years and several attempts at negotiations, Columbia cannot stop violent internal conflicts that are tearing the society. Over time, the creation of guerrilla and self-defense groups (Paramilitaries) multiplied and fought each other. At the heart of this violent struggle, there is the fight for coca production and control of drug trafficking market. But in this scene of increased violence the civilian population is unfortunately the main victim. Why this crisis lasts so long? Why previous negotiations failed and did not find any solution to end the crisis? These negotiation processes have never tried to gather all sectors of the civil society and armed groups around the same table to discuss about the crisis. That's the biggest challenge of the Colombian society.

Introduction


The conflict in Colombia is one of the world´s oldest of internal armed conflicts. The creation of the main guerrilla groups still active FARC (Fuerzas Armadas Revolucionarias de Colombia) and the ELN (Ejército de Liberación Nacional) dates from the years 1950 and 1960. The extension of this confrontation can be explained both by internal political developments (weakness of the territorial state presence, exclusive control of power by the two traditional parties) and by external influences (diffusion of the revolution in the 1960s, drug trafficking in the late 1970s).

Since then, the country is developing under the influence of violence. Thousands of kidnappings and disappearances; annually, over 20,000 victims among the civilian population prove the seriousness of the situation. Since the failure of several attempts of negotiations, the violence has been increased, thus causing the displacement of thousands of people. In 2013 the number of registered IDPs (internally displaced people) is more than 5.7 million[1]. UNHCR estimates that Colombia is the country, after Sudan, with the highest number of IDPs[2]. Indeed, all armed groups want to appropriate the territory for a strategic issue, the cultivation of coca, or even to take hold of private properties.

To understand the reasons for this extension of the armed conflict, it is essential to elucidate its causes. But this extension of the conflict also requires the examination of difficulties of its resolution. Since the 1980s, various attempts of negotiation took place: their successive failures weigh on both the strategies of the government and guerrilla groups. With the election of Alvaro Uribe to the presidency in 2002, the situation was characterized by a strategy of open armed confrontation. That prevents any prospect of a negotiated solution. For this government, the end of armed conflict seemed possible only by military way. But this did not mean the end of armed groups and the violence. Since the election of President Juan Manuel Santos in 2010, the parties have started new negotiations and have confirmed their desire to end the conflict. In 2012 the official negotiations were launched in Cuba, but suspended in 2014 due to the abduction of military officials. Therefore the process and results of these negotiations appear to be blurred.

This paper aims to study the complexity of the Colombian armed conflict: its history, its main actors and the motivations of actors. This text does not pretend to be an exhaustive analysis of the nature of these ideologies, but rather to expose and update the interests of these actors, depending on the evolution of the conflict. At the end, some proposals will be analyzed to achieve a process of peace.

Historical background: foundation of revolutionary guerrilla and paramilitaries groups


The internal armed conflict in Colombia has its roots in the period of La Violencia between 1949 and 1953. This was a very bloody civil war between the two major political parties: the Conservatives, then in power, and the Liberals. Violence debuted after the assassination of Jorge Elicer Gaitan in 1948, leader of the Liberal Party. Following a brief period of military dictatorship, the Liberal and Conservative parties came together in 1957 and created a coalition called Frente Nacional (National Front). This agreement was intended to put an end to armed clashes, but mainly to prevent another conflicts by a power-sharing agreement. As part of this agreement, liberals and conservatives alternated the presidency and would share the positions of political leadership from the central to local government. The agreement was sustainable: it was established for four presidential terms (1958-1974) and continues thereafter in practices coalition government.

This agreement excluded small armed groups from other political trends that are neither liberal nor conservative. In remote regions, rural communities were organized during the Violencia´s Period in self-defense militias in the context of civil war[3]. Influenced by communist ideas, from the defense of their land and establishment of collective structures of means of production, they refused their demobilization at the end of the period of La Violencia and rejected the power-sharing pact between liberals and conservatives. In the context of reconstruction of institutions, these militias appeared to elites as an obstacle to national reconciliation process. Thus, the government undertook to attack them by force in 1964-1965.

Despite the military offensive against them, these groups are not destroyed. Nor politically integrated into the regime or defeated militarily, they formally came together in organized protest movements that have undertaken the first activities of the Colombian guerrillas. The two most important revolutionary movements, which were born in reaction to these events and are still active, are the FARC, created in 1966, and ELN, formed in 1964. The EPL group (Ejercicio Popular de Liberación), founded in 1967[4], was also influential, but it was demobilized in 1990.

In contrast to these groups, another important mysterious group cams in addition to the conflict: the paramilitaries or “paracos”. I name them mysterious because they were not an organized and structured body like the guerrillas groups. The paramilitaries are the answer that conservative elites have made ​​to defend their economic and political interests in a context of widespread violence. It was legalized by Parliament:  ´´with Decree 3398 of 1965 and Law 48 of 1968, it became legal in Colombia to create civil defence groups to confront guerrillas and to support the army in counterinsurgency efforts´´[5]. These groups are formed by landowners allied to drug traffickers to fight against guerrillas. Their actions are no different from their enemies’ guerrillas; they are as violent as these. They all both have in common: violence and terrorize the civilian population.

They “paracos” finally gained national unity in 1997, under the name of United Self-Defense Forces of Colombia (AUC- Autodefensas Unidas de Colombia). This movement of the right is widely tolerated and sometimes assisted by the Colombian army[6]. It defends the interests of large landowners and has as its goal the removal of all the aspirations of communist-types. Several observers have noted a direct association between the military and the AUC, and military condone their camps and activities. Yet the paramilitaries, such as the FARC, fueled by income provides drug trafficking. In addition, the United States and the Soviet Union (USSR) sometime supported, according to their own interests, the main protagonists of the Colombian conflict. This international interference has greatly contributed to the degeneration of the conflict.

Several other rebel groups, such as the M19, emerged. This group consisted of radical nationalist and populist and was active from 1973 to 1990[7]. It has enjoyed a great popularity due to spectacular actions, for example the theft of 5000 weapons and the occupation of the Embassy of the Dominican Republic (1980) as well as of the law court (1985)[8].

The history and interests that drive the Colombian conflict help to explain the dynamics and transformations that characterize this war. It should be noted that these events are in a global context where the Cold War was at its peak. Then these groups were more influenced by the diffusion of the victory of the guerrilla in Cuba and the experience of Che Guevara in Bolivia.

Ideologically the Colombian conflict has aimed at the land distribution and social equality. The guerrillas believe that the people are victims from landowners and the military. This perception implies that farmers are being ignored in favor of an imperialist financial exploitation[9]. Thereafter, the guerrillas abandoned its project of social emancipation and changed in an essentially military action. However, the conflict has been transformed and today has its origins in the drug traffic and control of land for the cultivation of coca. Consequently, many are questioning its real desire to become a legitimate political party in the actual military and political context[10].

The FARC and some revolutionaries groups justify their violent and criminal actions on behalf of the Colombian population and they promote their ideals of social justice, equality and solidarity. So they can recruit candidates and save their image to the effect that they are still fighting on behalf of farmers and social justice. For this rebel organization, it is essential to mention the social injustice that can justify a war and the hatred of the enemy. This powerful message attracted also the poorest. It is interesting to note that “the percentage of Colombia’s population that lives in severe poverty is 50 percent or more´”[11]. Colombia is the only Latin American country where inequality is growing in all of its cities[12] These inequalities contribute to reinforce the message of the FARC and the legitimacy of the easiest option, financially and psychologically, that is the production of coca or armed struggle against class inequality.

One of the problems most strongly affecting the social situation of the Colombian people is the unequal distribution of the country's wealth and welfare resources. The income concentration is very high compared to the international averages: «while the poorest two tenths receive only 3.1% of the income, the richest two tenths take 59.9% of the income. The per capita incomes of the richest ten percent are 46 times greater than those of the poorest ten percent[13].

As in other Latin American countries, the Colombian army takes action against the guerrillas including negotiations with them, as it is the case of the actual Santo’s government. If these groups are weakened, they are not totally destroyed, unlike what happened in the rest of the region. FARC, ELN and other groups then survive in a marginal position, acting in peripheral areas without being truly able to destabilize the country's political institutions.

Negotiation failure in the 1980s and the complexity of the conflict


The 1980s would dramatically change the situation, both in political and military point of view. The development of drug trafficking has complex effects: the drug cartels become central actors. These are not, however, the guerrillas who then have the more ability to destabilize the government, but the drug cartels. They will seek to influence politicians by corruption, intimidation and violence: bombings against government buildings, assassination of political leaders and judges, destruction of a civilian aircraft in flight, etc.) [14]. For guerrillas, this is a godsend: access to such a source of income allows them to come out of marginality that characterized them. Some groups will accommodate the presence of cartels to share illegal weapons industries. Other groups are going to be directly involved in the organization of traffic or drug trafficking itself. The relationship between guerrillas and cartels are complex and variable according to the groups, regions and times. But the effect is very fast: the FARC emerged as the powerful group and ´´increased from an estimated 3,600 combatants in 1986 to 16,500 in 1996, while the ELN went from about 800 in 1986 to 4,500 in 2001´´[15].

Between 1982 and 1986, the President Belisario Betancur proposed a suspension of hostilities, but without disarmament, in order to realize a national dialogue which should involve the leaders of the guerrillas. In the context of armed truce, the FARC supported some social mobilizations, especially farmers, and constituted a political group, the Patriotic Union (UP-Unión Patriótica), which presented candidates for the elections. The UP got 5% in the 1986 presidential elections, a few seats of deputies and senators, and especially local representatives in areas of the presence of the FARC. But in the context of violence in the country, candidates and leaders of the UP are systematically targeted by paramilitary groups, on behalf of the fact that they are the direct representatives of the FARC, hundreds of them are murdered, and those who are not have to go into exile.

The end of the 1980s knows a deterioration of the situation. The government then conducts an open war both against the drug cartels, guerrilla groups, and even paramilitary organizations. Guerrillas, meanwhile, continue their control of territorial actions and political influence, with complex relationships in different regions with drug traffickers. Finally, paramilitary organizations become truly autonomous actors: in some regions they serve as auxiliaries to the army, in others they become real enemies of it, establishing a regime of order through violence. And the Colombian crisis of the late 1980s is neither a revolutionary challenge nor conflict of drugs, but the addition of these two aspects.

The Constituent Assembly of 1990-1991: peace proposal by institutional reform


In the context of deterioration of the situation, convergence occurs in the late 1990s between different actors with the idea to get out the country of the crisis, so the institutions have to be reformed and modernized. Sectors within the government, political parties, groups of intellectuals and student movement mobilized the demand of a reform of institutions. According to them, the crisis in the country can only be solved by changing the rules of the political game that allows renewing the old bipartisan framework, to better represent other options and bring citizens closer to power.

The more dynamic group in this process was the M-19, constituted in 1973[16], which was characterized by the middle class. The leaders of this group would be able to integrate into the dynamics of the Constituent Assembly. They accept a quick negotiation that allows them to demobilize and become a political movement, the Alianza Democrática M-19, just before the elections to the Constituent Assembly. Getting 27% of votes in the election for the Constituent Assembly, this movement appears to be one of the main actors of the reform of institutions. Its candidate becomes one of three co- presidents of the Constituent Assembly, with a representative of the Liberal Party and the Conservative Party.

The composition of the Constituent Assembly reflects the combination of alliances. Contrary to the usual organization of Colombian politics from the two main parties, another group is represented in the Assembly. This Assembly apparently fulfills the function of representation of the diversity of the society. The new text maintains political and social rights and acknowledges the political existence of minorities as well as modernizes the functioning of institutions. However, this initiative was short-lived, because the most important groups of guerrillas, the FARC and the ELN, remain outside of the processes. During the work of the Constituent Assembly, the military clashes continue. Negotiations with the FARC resumed in late 1991 and 1992, but without success.

The hope that the new constitution represents a solution to the Colombian crisis lasts a short time. The two main parties rapidly regain the control of political life. Moreover, the idea of political integration of former guerrillas as a way of solution to the armed comfits is seriously called into question. After the Constituent Assembly, the Alianza Democrática M-19 experienced a series of electoral defeats, so that the group ceases to exist since 1994. This movement is undermined by internal divisions and has many difficulties to provide a political agenda.

The impossible negotiation and new victims


The failure of the political reintegration of some guerrillas led to the continuation of the conflict. The civilian population is the first victim of armed confrontations. The conflict also takes a relatively new face: IDPs of the violence. Hundreds of thousands of Colombians fled the armed groups to find a precarious refuge in different cities, especially in their peripheries. The phenomenon is so massive that the government request in 1997 UNHCR to intervene in Colombia to support the displaced.

The new negotiations continue between the government and guerrilla in the years 1998-2001. President Andrés Pastrana, elected in 1998, would grant the demilitarization of a vast area of ​​40,000 km2 to begin negotiations with the FARC, with support from the international community (especially European countries). Under this agreement, the fighting would continue outside this area. According to some critics, President Pastrana gave the feeling of more concessions to the guerrillas that he got the progress on the path of appeasement.

Again, negotiations bogged down for months without substantial progress. In February 2002, this negotiation is definitely over. Like all presidential terms since 1982, the Pastrana´s presidency begins with a limited period of armed conflict and ends with the widespread continuing clashes. And in turn, it indicates a failure of new negotiation to escape the armed conflict.

New military strategy of conflict management (2002-2010)


The election at the presidency of Alvaro Uribe in 2002 marks a rupture in the treatment of armed conflict. The new government took more drastic measures than its predecessors in order to regain control of the country. During his campaign, unlike his predecessors, Uribe announced its intention to make an open war against the drug cartels and the guerrillas, to not seek negotiation or political agreement. Under the name of "democratic security"[17], Alvaro Uribe includes the fight against armed groups as part of the institutional strengthening. But how?

Uribe has implemented a series of special measures, including the recruitment of thousands of peasants as soldiers and informers. But such a measure has created a climate of distrust in communities and dividing people. This strategy does not help to create a sense of confidence in the population. In addition, the relationship between the paramilitaries and the government undermines the legitimacy of this; because it is proven that the paramilitaries are also responsible for the majority of the deaths and disappearances as well as the crimes against humanity and gross human rights violations in Colombia[18].

Under Uribe’s government, the Colombian society is subject to a military power rather than a local government. In other words, the military replaces the municipal authority. This authority has full authority over the movement of people, the imposition of the curfew and the prohibition on the right to protest. In addition to this, there is a weak judicial system that does not guarantee the application and enforcement of the order according to the fundamental rules of law.

Strengthening the army and a privileged partner


Since the President Uribe interrupts any negotiations with the FARC and ELN, the new strategy of the government is based on the direct confrontation against the guerrillas and drug trafficking. "Plan Colombia", launched in September 1999 by his predecessor, is part of this policy. The plan is funded by the international community to strengthen the military and institutional capacity of the Colombian government in its fight against drug trafficking. So the plan converted into military aid especially from the United States. But the sustained interest of the United States in Colombia has been tied to research oil in order to reduce its dependence on the Gulf countries. With only 20% of its exploited oil resources, Colombia offers a unique opportunity.

Between 2000 and 2005 the assistance from the United States to Colombia is estimated at about $ 4 billion, making Colombia the third recipient of U.S. aid in the world. This assistance allows the acquisition of modern equipment by the Colombian army. The U.S. funds also allowed the creation of additional battalions. It also means the permanent presence of the U.S. military in the country for the training of elite units of the Colombian army and for intelligence work as well as the military aerial surveillance. This aid is an opportunity for a profound reform of the army. The numbers increase significantly: ´´Between 1998 and 2002, the armed forces in Colombia grew by 60% to 132,000. (…). By the end of Uribe’s second term in August 2010, the Colombian military reached 283,000´´[19]. This change is also qualitative, because it has become a largely professional army.

The foreign military presence has a negative impact on the conflict. It allows guerrilla movements to stress the motivations of the United States that are appropriated to Colombian oil on the detriment of the Colombian population. This claim is reinforced by the fact that U.S. forces are closely located to the oil infrastructure. The United States are financially and politically supporting the Government of Colombia in its fight against ´´narco-terrorism´´, but they also pursue their own interest.

The situation of poverty and inequality in the society helps to maintain the popularity of the FARC, which accuse the government of working against the poor people. This has contributed to the perception that the government favors a rich minority of the population at the expense of poor majority and working in connivance with the United States to meet their oil interests in exchange for weapons.

The strategy of the United States and the Colombian army also causes another problem. In order to tackle the drugs problem, thousands of hectares have been fumigated. This program raises concerns, because fumigation is highly chemical and destroys the legal agriculture, while having a serious impact on the environment and the health of populations in these regions. But this program has had no success. Moreover, coca production has increased since the beginning of fumigation. This is explained by the fact that coca production can easily be relocated and may extend into areas less accessible by the army. This is also explained by the transfer of the production of coca from other countries in the region.

However, we must recognize that conflicts, involving the easily exploitable natural resources such as diamonds, oil or drugs, are more difficult to solve than any other, because the promoters have the interest to continue the fight[20]. It is important to note that all Latin American conflicts, which were not influenced by economic interests, ended, while only in Colombia persists the violence.

Demobilization of paramilitary group (AUC): a blurred case


Negotiation of government with the guerillas, considered as terrorists and drug traffickers against who the government has to conduct an open war, was not possible. Conversely, it was possible with the paramilitaries. However, paramilitary organizations have greatly benefited from drug trafficking to increase in number in the 1990s. Their tactic consists of controlling the strategic areas of the production and the export of drugs through violence and the use of terror (massacres and displacement of the civilian population, systematic elimination of any political or social contestation).

The Uribe´s government proposed a negotiation, which involved the demobilization and reintegration assistance of the AUC members as well as a sentence reduction[21]. Several Colombian and international non- governmental organizations have criticized the juridical gap in this process and the impunity that the government has offered this group, which was responsible for over 50% of cases of human rights violations in Colombia. This negotiation process had no legal framework itself that would have a significant impact on the judicial process of AUC criminals. Because of that, some communities are taking the law into its hands, using violence, and thus they renew the cycle of violence.

Future initiatives have much to learn from the failure of the paramilitary process to address the roots of paramilitary violence or to develop a transparent process with a common and clear understanding of the agreements reached. The process also highlights the need to clarify jurisdictional responsibilities regarding investigations and prosecutions of crimes committed, the need to ensure sufficient resources for enacting the rule of law and the protection of witnesses, and the need to establish mechanisms to monitor the implementation of agreements and to prevent the emergence of new forms of violence[22].

The demobilization agreement, signed formally in February 2006 led to the end of paramilitary organizations. The demobilized AUC had three choices: After receiving the sentence reduction, they are either integrated into the battalion of the Army or reintegrated within cooperatives and private vigilance to protect private companies or properties. Finally, and this is the third choice, some of them are joining the urban criminal groups linked to paramilitaries.

It is important to note that members of the AUC have controlled the majority of cities because of their non- formal mandate to secure urban areas, helping the police and military to regain control of the country from the hands of the guerrillas. Moreover, the demobilization of the AUC was in no way a guarantee that the other groups would follow this process. On the contrary, the violence is persisting in the regions of action of these demobilized combatants and groups are reconstituted in order to control the drug trafficking. In other words, the free areas that were left by the AUC are quickly taken over by these paramilitary or other guerrilla groups.


Weakening of Guerrillas?


The most obvious sign of balance of power in favor of military forces is weakening the FARC. But the effects of the army reinforcement were not immediate. Until 2003, the FARC are obtaining military success by attacking army bases or abduction of many politicians, ministers, governors, deputies, soldiers and police, considered as political hostages, held for a possible prisoner exchange[23]. The prolongation of the conflict is gradually inducing a change in the balance of power. Since 2001, the FARC are being in the longest period of armed confrontation, without truce or partial agreement. The army is focusing its actions on the regions of presence of members of the FARC Secretariat and multiplying the success. Therefore, the number of offensive actions, taken by the FARC, has decreased, compared to previous years[24]. Access to funding sources (drug trafficking, kidnapping) is much more difficult. Since 2007, dozens of regional leaders were arrested or killed. In addition, the numbers of FARC decreased considerably. Different liberations of hostages are also reflecting the internal difficulties of the guerrillas.

The death of different historical leaders such as Manuel Marulanda, Tirofijo in May 2008, reinforces the impression that the weakening of the FARC is real. Marulanda was the head of the organization since its foundation. FARC is certainly weakened, but not destroyed. Regional groups persist and maintain real action capabilities. In addition, this weakening does not mean the reducing levels of violence. In this context, the demobilization of paramilitary organizations is only apparent: the numbers of their members are still active and maintain strategies for territorial control through violence.

The lack of a formal framework for political negotiation obligates Alvaro Uribe to undertake the total destruction of armed groups. But politically, it is a bad strategy. These groups will be more difficult to demobilize without a common national political structure. Otherwise, local emancipations of these groups will continue to exercise the political and social control through violence.

Current negotiations


From the beginning of his government in 2010, President Juan Manuel Santos has tried to make contact with the guerrillas. This is the fourth round of negotiations in three decades between the Colombian government and the guerrillas. Since early 2012, Timoshenko - the new commander of the FARC- confirmed the willingness of the guerrilla group to continue secret talks with the government. "Despite the circumstances the FARC will remain at the table, faithful to the commitment to seek peace for Colombia through all means,"[25] affirmed the FARC negotiator Ivan Marquez.

The first phase of dialogue, called ´´exploratory" began in February 2012 and ended in August 2012 in Havana (Cuba), with the signing of the General Agreement to end the conflict and build stable and durable peace. The point discussions of the negotiations are: complete agricultural development policy; guarantees for the participation of the political opposition; the end of the conflict; the solution of the problem of illegal trafficking drugs; right of the victims; and the implementation of the final negotiated agreement[26]. The second phase began in Oslo (Norway) in October 2012. The third phase consists of the simultaneous implementation of all agreements, during which the government will guarantee verification mechanisms and promote process participation of civil society.

According to the condition, the sessions are private; no demilitarization of territories or cessations of military operations are possible. The dialogue takes place in a third country and their duration is limited. Humberto de la Calle (government) and Ivan Marquez (FARC) are responsible for each of the negotiating teams[27].

Unfortunately the peace talks were suspended after the abduction of a General of the Colombian Army in November 2014 by the guerrillas, who claim a bilateral cease-fire. General Ruben Alzate is the highest ranking ever captured by the FARC. Since 2012, the guerrillas undertook not to remove civilians against ransom, while reserving the right to capture the police or military as prisoners of war. Two years after the start of discussions, these events seemed to put at risk the peace negotiations.
  
The points-discussions mentioned in the negotiation are important for the solving of Colombian conflict. But in this new negotiation process, it is worth mentioning a fault: the absence of some important actors in the process. In this negotiation, there are only the government and the FARC. The guerrillas of the ELN expressed its intention to enter into the negotiation process, but there are still no official statements about it. Besides guerrillas, where are the paramilitaries in this case? These groups or bands are also major actors in the crisis. In addition to this, peace in Colombia involves social and political issues. It is not just a matter of government and the armed groups, but also of the whole society. In this sense the different key sectors or organizations of civil society are under-represented in the negotiation process. This can be a failure element in the process of negotiation for the peace and the end of violence in the country, because all concerned parties do not participate and are not involved in the process.

Conflict analysis and proposals for possible solutions


The Colombian conflict cannot and should not be analyzed under its current form. It is the result of a long history of violent appropriation of land - and some parts of the rich territory in resource- by the dominant sectors of the country. It also results in an unfair distribution of wealth[28]. This process, supported by an emerging class that has benefited from an alliance of interests between powerful local and regional authorities and the army and drug traffickers, gave birth to a narco- paramilitary phenomenon. At the same time, by violence or by more subtle institutional mechanisms, this process led to the exclusion of popular organizations from the main centers of power. This makes the resolution of different politics issues impossible, which keep armed conflict going. These conflicts involve communities of different regions of the country and are continually increasing the statistics of victims and displaced populations. Consequently, ´´there are several complex factors that have contributed to the Colombian civil war. These factors represent not only the root causes of the conflict but also forces that have allowed for the continuation of the war and the escalations of violence that characterize its evolution´´[29].

The Colombian conflict has multiple components, such as social, economic and political, etc.  These must be disabled to create conditions for sustainable peace in Colombia. The "war against terrorism", as argued the USA[30], and direct armed confrontations against the guerrillas confirm the government's claim to deny the political dimension of armed groups and resolve the political conflict by war. The continuation of justifying the war against armed groups under the pretext that it would be a war of democracy against the narco- terrorist is a clear example of a paradox. However, for some politicians war is, in principle, the easy way for resolving a conflict. When the internal situation is confused and aggravated, a declaration of war becomes the most effective way to clarify the record. But the conflict between the government and armed groups are known for their increasingly frequent violations of humanitarian and human rights.

In a country that has known war for over fifty years, peace attempts also require a long negotiation. In most cases, these attempts have been designed to establish a cease-fire between the armed actors. Beyond the announcement effects, they do not have lasting consequences on peace. On the contrary, they have generally led to a reorganization of the conflict, making its management a structural characteristic of Colombian politics. More specifically, the discourse on peace allows regulating the armed conflict, sometimes intensifying it, but never terminating it.

The resolution of the Colombian armed conflict requires political work and dialogue, where all parties (the government, the armed groups and the civil society)  can talk together, communicate their wishes, negotiate and give up to resolve disagreements. In addition, all parties must recognize each other. In the negotiation process, any group should not be excluded. All groups involved in the conflict must be represented. This is the weakness of current negotiation process that includes only the FARC and the government. In many cases, the government seeks to negotiate exclusively with some groups, such as was the case with the M19 and Paramilitary groups. A correct mechanic must be created to integrate all groups into the process, because the FARC is not the only group involved in the conflict. Many other major groups, such as the FLN, do not participate in the actual negotiation process. In addition, separate negotiations between the government and groups do not seem an effective and sustainable solution. It has been so in previous negotiations: all concerned parties have never been at the same time around the table of negotiation. In the negotiation process there was always exclusions of some actors of the crises. In this case, a successful exit from the crisis is not too obvious.

Conclusion


Violence in Colombia causes approximately 20,000 deaths on average each year. This war, which is not quite a civil war, is increasingly against civilians[31]. Some analysts argue that political motivated guerrillas (FARC, FLN) are still legitimate. Others believe that drug trafficking would have altered their ideological pretensions and have transformed into pure economic interests.

In this context, in which some actors have interest to maintain the current level of violence, any peace initiative remains difficult. In addition, considering the antagonistic perceptions of the causes of conflict and, especially, financial motivations of each other, any resolution must first and foremost take into account the root, which caused the conflict, namely the income provided by the traffic drugs. In addition, we must also consider the link between armed groups, members of the government and international networks. According to the interpretation of the economic and political conflicts advanced by Tony Addison and Mansoob Murshed, violence is an alternative to peaceful production as a form of economic activity.[32] This theory claims that conflicts exist and persist, because they are financially profitable. In this sense, the perpetuation of violence is a rational decision that allows realizing more profit than in time of peace[33]. According to this theory, in Colombia, the primary objective is therefore not ideological, but economic. Without violence, the lucrative drug traffic could not take place. Production of the drug is easy and inexpensive, and additionally extremely profitable.

According to this theory, the parties are rational and their decisions, either they feel favorable to peace or war, are related to the defense of their own interests. The persistence of conflict is based on the fact that violence is the objective of the parties. If they want to resolve the conflict, the dialogue would inevitably seek to change this dynamic. They would try to make peace "profitable", or at least also profitable as war, inviting the main parties to the negotiating table. Such solutions necessarily imply a change in the balance of power, but how is it possible to break the impasse? On the one hand, the government forces fail to eliminate the rebels, on the other; the rebels are not able to gain power. Added to this, there is another fundamental challenge: how to restore trust between the different parties, after many failures of previous peace attempts?


 Jean Marcelson Abraham
amarcelson@yahoo.fr

License in Philosophy and master in Intercultural Communication and European Studies

References


Feldmann Andreas E., Measuring the Colombian "Success" story, Revista de Ciencia Política, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Santiago de Chile, vol. 32, núm. 3, 2012, pp. 739-752.

Giselle Lopez, The Colombian Civil War. Potential for Justice in a Culture of Violence, in: Policy Briefing, Vol. 2 - No. 1.

Cardenas Maria Cristina, Colombia’s Peace Process: The continuous Search for Peace, Florida Journal of International Law, Vol. 15, 2002.

MASON Ann, Colombia’s democratic security agenda: public order in the security tripod, Security Dialogue, 34, 4, Dec. 2003, p.391-409.

Human Rights Watch, The Sixth Division, Military-Paramilitary ties and U.S. Policy in Colombia, Human Rights Watch, New York, September 2001.

Karen Ballentine, Jake Sherman (ed), The Political Economy of Armed Conflict. Beyong Greed and Grievance, Lynne Rienner Publisher, USA, 2003.

Kevin Howlett, UN: ´Colombia`s urban rich poor gap worsening,  Oct 9th 2013, in: http://www.colombia-politics.com/urban-inequality-un/

David E. Spencer, Lessons from Colombia’s Road to Recovery, 1982–2010, Center for Hemispheric Defense Studies, (Strategic Issues in US/Latin American Relations) Vol. 2, No. 1, May 2012.

Mauricio García Durán, Vera Grabe Loewenherz, Otty Patiño Hormaza, M-19‘s Journey from Armed Struggle to Democratic Politics: Striving to Keep the Revolution Connected to the People, Berghof Research Center for Constructive Conflict Management, no. 1,  Berlin, 2008.

Virginia M. Bouvier, New Hopes for Negotiated Solutions in Colombia, United States Institute of Peace, sept. 2007.

UNDP, United Nations Development Programme, Human Development Indicators  2003 for Colombia , Human Development Reports 2003. http://www.undp.org.hdr2003/indicators/cty

The Rise of the South: Human Progress in a Diverse World, Explanatory note on 2013 HDR composite indices. Colombia. http://hdr.undp.org/sites/default/files/Country-Profiles/COL.pdf

Ana M. Arjona and Stathis Kalyvas (Yale University), Preliminary Results of a Survey of Demobilized Combatants in Colombia. 11. May 2006.

Pécaut Daniel, Réflexion sur la naissance des guérillas colombiennes, Cahier des Amériques latines, 36, décembre 2001, p.65-92.

Juan-Carlos Guerrero, Une mise en perspective historique du conflit armé colombien,  in : Visages d’Amérique Latine, no. 3, juin 2006.
Larranaga, Roberto Sancho, Guerrilla y terrorismo en Colombia y España: ELN y ETA, UNAB, Colombia, 2003.  

Penaranda, Ricardo y Javier Guerrero, De las armas a la política, Universidad Nacional, 1999.

PIZARRO Eduardo, El proyecto de seguridad democrática de Álvaro Uribe, Nueva Sociedad, 186, juillet 2003.

June S. Beittel, Peace Talks in Colombia, Analyst in Latin American Affairs, Congressional Research Service, March1 7-5700, 2013.

Lecombe Delphine, Mobilisations autour d'un modèle de sortie de conflit : la Commission Nationale de Réparation et Réconciliation : une "commission de vérité et réconciliation" (CVR) colombienne?, in : Raisons politiques, 2008/I, no 29, pp.59-75.

eceny Mark, Durnan Michael, The FARC's best friend : U. S. antidrug policies and the deepening of Colombia's civil war in the 1990s , In:  Latin American Politics and Society, Vol. 48, no.2, 2006, p.95-116.

Alejandro Reyes, Guerrerros y Campesinos : el despojo de la tierra en Colombia, Norma, 2009.

Feldmann Andreas E., Measuring the Colombian "Success" story, Revista de Ciencia Política, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Santiago de Chile, vol. 32, núm. 3, 2012.

Addison, Tony & Murshed, Mansoob, On the Economic Causes of Contemporary Civil Wars, Oxf. Econ. Paper, (1998) 50 (4).

Crocker A Chester, Fen Osler Hampson, & Pamela Aall (ed.), Turbulent Peace. The Challenges of Managing International Conflict, United States Institutes of Peace, Washington, 2001.

Jennifer S. Holmes, Guns, Growth, and Governance: Colombian Paramilitary Violence http://usregsec.sdsu.edu/docs/holmes2.pdf

Colombian government, FARC resume peace talks in Cuba after hiatus.
http://www.presstv.ir/detail/2013/08/26/320651/colombia-govt-farc-resume-talks/

The Rise of the South: Human Progress in a Diverse World, Explanatory note on 2013 HDR composite indices. Colombia. http://hdr.undp.org/sites/default/files/Country-Profiles/COL.pdf, 02.02-2015.

Acuerdo General para la terminación del conflicto y la construcción de una paz estable y duradera: http://www.latinreporters.com/ColombiaFarcAcuerdoTerminacionConflictoAgosto2012.pdf

http://www.odci.gov/cia/public_affairs/speeches/2002/senate_select_hearing_03192002.html





[3] More details about this period see: Pécaut Daniel, Réflexion sur la naissance des guérillas colombiennes, Cahier des Amériques latines, 36, décembre 2001, p.65-92.
[4] Cf. Daniel Pécaut, Réflexion sur la naissance des guérillas colombiennes,  in : Cahier des Amériques Latines, N° 36, p. 64.
[5] Jennifer S. Holmes, Guns, Growth, and Governance: Colombian Paramilitary Violence, p. 4. http://usregsec.sdsu.edu/docs/holmes2.pdf
[6] Cf. Giselle Lopez, The Colombian Civil War. Potential for Justice in a Culture of Violence, in: Policy Briefing, Vol. 2, No. 1, p. 7.
[7] Cf Mauricio García Durán, Vera Grabe Loewenherz, Otty Patiño Hormaza, M-19‘s Journey from Armed Struggle to Democratic Politics: Striving to Keep the Revolution Connected to the People, Berghof Research Center for Constructive Conflict Management, no. 1,  Berlin, 2008, p. 8.
[8] Cf. Juan-Carlos Guerrero, Une mise en perspective historique du conflit armé colombien : in Visages d’Amérique Latine, no. 3, juin 2006, p. 86.
[9] Cf. Cardenas Maria Cristina, Colombia’s Peace Process: The continuous Search for Peace, in: Florida Journal of International Law, Vol. 15, 2002, p.277. 
[10] Cf. Penaranda, Ricardo y Javier Guerrero, De las armas a la política. Ed. de la Universidad Nacional, 1999. P. 33.
[11] The Rise of the South: Human Progress in a Diverse World, Explanatory note on 2013 HDR composite indices. Colombia. http://hdr.undp.org/sites/default/files/Country-Profiles/COL.pdf, 02.02-2015.
[12] Kevin Howlett, UN: ´Colombia`s urban rich poor gap worsening,  Oct 9th 2013, in: http://www.colombia-politics.com/urban-inequality-un/

[13]GLOBALISATION, POVERTY AND INEQUITY Colombia, National reports:http://www.socialwatch.org/node/10587, 22.02.2015

[14] Ana M. Arjona and Stathis Kalyvas (Yale University), Preliminary Results of a Survey of Demobilized Combatants in Colombia. 11. May 2006. In: http://stathis.research.yale.edu/documents/Report5-06.pdf
[15] Giselle Lopez, The Colombian Civil War. Potential for Justice in a Culture of Violence, p. 7.
[16] More details about this negotiation see: Mauricio García Durán, Vera Grabe Loewenherz, Otty Patiño Hormaza, M-19‘s Journey from Armed Struggle to Democratic Politics, pp. 25-35.
[17] More about this democratic security´s programm from d’Alvaro Uribe: PIZARRO Eduardo,  El proyecto de seguridad democrática de Álvaro Uribe », Nueva Sociedad, 186, juillet 2003, pp.4-17.
[18] Cf. Human Rights Watch, The Sixth Division, Military-Paramilitary ties and U.S. Policy in Colombia, Human Rights Watch, New York, September 2001, pp.7-8.
[19] June S. Beittel, Peace Talks in Colombia, Analyst in Latin American Affairs, Congressional Research Service 7-5700, March 1, 2013, p. 11.
[20] Cf. Karen Ballentine, Jake Sherman (ed), The Political Economy of Armed Conflict. Beyong Greed and Grievance, Lynne Rienner Publisher, USA, 2003, p. 48.  
[21] More details : Lecombe Delphine, Mobilisations autour d'un modèle de sortie de conflit: la Commission Nationale de Réparation et Réconciliation : une "commission de vérité et réconciliation" (CVR) colombienne?, in : Raisons politiques, 2008/I, no 29, p.59-75.
[22] Virginia M. Bouvier, New Hopes for Negotiated Solutions in Colombia, United States Institute of Peace, September 2007, p. 25.
[23] Cf. Peceny Mark, Durnan Michael, The FARC's best friend : U. S. antidrug policies and the deepening of Colombia's civil war in the 1990s , in:  Latin American Politics and Society, Vol. 48, no.2, 2006, p.95-116.
[24] Cf. Giselle Lopez, The Colombian Civil War. Potential for Justice in a Culture of Violence, p. 8.
[25] Colombian government, FARC resume peace talks in Cuba after hiatus: http://www.presstv.ir/detail/2013/08/26/320651/colombia-govt-farc-resume-talks/, 10.03.2014.
[26] Acuerdo General para la terminación del conflicto y la construcción de una paz estable y duradera:
http://www.latinreporters.com/ColombiaFarcAcuerdoTerminacionConflictoAgosto2012.pdf
[27] Cf. June S. Beittel, Peace Talks in Colombia, p. 16.
[28] Consult the book of Alejandro Reyes; Guerrerros y Campesinos : el despojo de la tierra en Colombia, Norma, 2009.
[29] Giselle Lopez, The Colombian Civil War. Potential for Justice in a Culture of Violence, p. 7.
[30] In the fight against drug trafficking and guerrillas, rebel groups are identified and categorized by the U.S. government as "terrorists“or "narco- terrorist".
Cf. http://www.odci.gov/cia/public_affairs/speeches/2002/senate_select_hearing_03192002.html, 14.03.2014.
[31] Cf. Feldmann Andreas E., Measuring the Colombian "Success" story, Revista de Ciencia Política, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Santiago de Chile, vol. 32, núm. 3, 2012, p. 743.
[32] Cf. Addison, Tony & Murshed, Mansoob, On the Economic Causes of Contemporary Civil Wars, Oxf. Econ. Paper. (1998) 50 (4):  p.666.   
[33] Cf. Crocker A Chester, Fen Osler Hampson, & Pamela Aall (ed.), Turbulent Peace. The Challenges of Managing International Conflict, United States Institutes of Peace, Washington, 2001, p. 143.  

Nombre total de pages vues